About PolyToolAI
PolyToolAI is a web application and Chrome Extension that provides AI-powered research and probability analysis for Polymarket and Kalshi prediction markets. It helps users identify cases where market prices may diverge from estimated true probabilities — using real-time AI research, large-position tracking, and structured probability assessments.
What PolyToolAI does
AI Market Analysis
For any Polymarket or Kalshi question, PolyToolAI queries real-time news, evaluates base rates, and produces a YES / NO / SKIP verdict with a probability estimate and confidence rating.
Large-Position Tracker
Tracks significant positions ($10,000+) on Polymarket and Kalshi. Large capital flows are often a leading informational signal worth tracking.
Edge Detection
The "Find Best Edge" feature scans active markets and surfaces the ones where AI probability diverges most from current market prices — highlighting potential research signals.
Portfolio Tracking
Log your trades and track AI prediction accuracy. See how AI verdicts correlate with real market resolution outcomes.
Real-time Analysis
Each analysis uses Google Gemini Flash with live web search, ensuring the AI has access to the most recent news at the moment of analysis.
Chrome Extension
The free Chrome Extension embeds AI analysis directly on Polymarket and Kalshi pages, so you can analyze without leaving the platform.
Who it is for
PolyToolAI is designed for active prediction market traders on Polymarket and Kalshi who want a faster, more systematic approach to evaluating market opportunities. It is used by:
- • Active prediction market participants looking for a systematic, data-driven analytical workflow
- • Part-time users who want AI-assisted research without spending hours reading news manually
- • Curious users who want to understand whether a specific market appears mispriced relative to AI estimates
- • Researchers and analysts studying prediction market efficiency and AI forecasting accuracy
Pricing
PolyToolAI offers a free tier (5 analyses on signup), a credit pack ($5 for 5 analyses, never expires), a monthly plan ($9.99/month for 5 analyses/day), and a yearly plan ($99/year for 10 analyses/day). The Chrome Extension is free with any plan.
Important disclaimer
PolyToolAI provides informational and educational AI research only. It is not financial, investment, or trading advice. Prediction markets involve financial risk. Past AI accuracy does not guarantee future results. Users must be 18 or older. Always research thoroughly and act responsibly.